In some ways, this is a fiendishly complicated round in which to make guesses; OTOH, in certain cases, the math is pretty straightforward – at least, so long as one can rely on the gifts as posted to match the offers as made in the signups. (Go go Gadget spreadsheet!)
We have, for instance, two excellent vids this round, and two players who offered to make vids. A combination of external evidence makes one of the two attributions nearly certain, and that neatly ties off the other.
Similarly, we have two podfics and three would-be providers of podfic...but both podfics are derived from BBC/Sherlock stories, and I think it’s safe to assume that gardnerhill is an unlikely creator for either of those. That sorts the other two out neatly:
Art is a little trickier. We have four artworks in the round, (three BBC, one ACD) six prospective creators, and none of the recipients of art eliminate themselves by having offered to create it. On the other hand, of the six potential artists, three offered art exclusively, and one of the remaining three estimated a 5% of committing fic rather than art. This set of guesses is therefore more speculative than the prior two, but I should at least have the dimensions of the pool about right:
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Audiovisual deductions
Date: 2016-06-14 11:18 pm (UTC)We have, for instance, two excellent vids this round, and two players who offered to make vids. A combination of external evidence makes one of the two attributions nearly certain, and that neatly ties off the other.
Something Good (Will Come From That) –
How Long –
Similarly, we have two podfics and three would-be providers of podfic...but both podfics are derived from BBC/Sherlock stories, and I think it’s safe to assume that
En Passant –
Who is the Lamb? –
Art is a little trickier. We have four artworks in the round, (three BBC, one ACD) six prospective creators, and none of the recipients of art eliminate themselves by having offered to create it. On the other hand, of the six potential artists, three offered art exclusively, and one of the remaining three estimated a 5% of committing fic rather than art. This set of guesses is therefore more speculative than the prior two, but I should at least have the dimensions of the pool about right:
Positive Reinforcement –
The Evolution Of Johnlock –
A Time For Us –
Till the very fire touched them –
Prose fic guesswork coming later in the week (I am going to be Very Busy for the next 24 hours or so).